In order to
deeply analyse the real estate bubbles, I will take Japan as an illustration.
There is a famous economic bubble in Japan from 1986 to 1991. During that period,
real estate and stock prices were seriously inflated. Real estate prices
experienced a manic process that price in Tokyo is 350 times more expensive
than comparable land in Manhattan and New York.
So what is
the reason of this bubble? Firstly, we need to realize the background. After
the second war, the government in Japan encouraged people save their income and
then the yen appreciating. The financial assets become very expensive and
luxurious. Secondly, Capitalism allows
marginal buying for speculation with self-risk-taking. Banks and government
encouraged people to do this. What is more, Japanese used to believe a sort of
myth that real estate value will never fall down because the limited land. At
last, the most important point is that overconfidence and the Bank of Japan’s
loose monetary policy in that period led to aggressive speculation in domestic
stock and real estate, resulting in the prices of assets to the unprecedented
level.
As a result,
Japan’s property market in the 1980’s was very fragile. Because all the
corporate speculation, the collapse wiped out company balance sheets.
Therefore, the market fell hard. Through some related materials, since 1991,
Japan has spent 11 years to struggle with the recession. It has meaningful
signs until now.


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